Storm prediction center oklahoma - Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms National Weather Center, Suite 2500 120 David L. Boren Blvd., Norman, OK 73072, USA Phone: (405) 325-0453 Fax: (405) 325-7614 E-mail: [email protected]

 
Following a day of violent weather in the South, the Storm Prediction Center said widespread severe storms that include damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a few tornadoes were expected Thursday .... One who's left the country crossword

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is part of the National Weather Service (NWS) and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). Our mission is to provide timely and accurate forecasts and watches for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes over the contiguous United States. The SPC also monitors for hazardous winter weather and fire ...Jun 18, 2566 BE ... Check out my channel partner for awesome and accurate weather forecast! ... ': Storm Chasers Save Dog Caught In Oklahoma ... Texas Weather Center• ...The Storm Prediction Center issues watches, general severe weather outlooks, and mesoscale discussions. Private weather companies sometimes issue customized tornado-risk predictions and alerts for their clients. ... The Advanced Radar Research Center at OU runs a Rapid-scan X-band Polarimetric Radar , also dual …Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Search Criteria ... National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] Storm Prediction Center is one of the initial participants in the NWS experimental email updates service. The SPC products available with email updates are: Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches and Watch Status updates, Mesoscale Discussions, Day 1, 2, 3 and 4-8 Convective Outlooks, Day 1, 2 and 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks. NOAA / National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms National Weather Center, Suite 2500 120 David L. Boren Blvd., Norman, OK 73072, USA Phone: (405) 325-0453 Fax: (405) 325-7614 E-mail: [email protected] states, including Colorado, Vermont and Kentucky, allow firearms to be carried openly without a permit, says the Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence. Thirteen states allo...Get ratings and reviews for the top 11 lawn companies in Oklahoma City, OK. Helping you find the best lawn companies for the job. Expert Advice On Improving Your Home All Projects ...The Storm Reports page is organized based on reports received from 1200 UTC to 1159 UTC the next day. For example, storm report page for 20150430 covers reports from 20150430 at 1200 UTC to 20150501 at 1159 UTC. Full report in comma-separated values (CSV) format and in KML format.National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Aviation Weather Center (AWC) Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) NCEP Central Operations (NCO) National Hurricane Center (NHC) Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Contact … Severe thunderstorm forecasts are issued daily by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center with threat levels ranging from "marginal risk" on the low end to the rarely used "high risk." ... Oklahoma, issues ... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook. NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK. 0159 PM CST Sun Mar 03 2024. Valid 041200Z - 051200Z. Elevated highlights have been introduced for Day 2/Monday across. portions of the southern High Plains. Here, the latest guidance. consensus has trended warmer/windier, with most deterministic.Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. ... National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] … This is a map and list of tornadoes since 1950 which the National Weather Service has rated F5 (before 2007) or EF5 (equivalent, 2007 onward, the most intense damage category on the Fujita and Enhanced Fujita damage scales. The tornadoes are numbered in the order they happened since 1950; so the numbers run from the bottom up. The detailed manual analysis of surface data has been a major component of severe storm forecasting for more than 60 years. ... National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] Leitman, a meteorologist at NOAA's Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma, issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch on Feb. 15, 2023, making her the first woman to issue one in the SPC's ...Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) NCEP Central Operations ... National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected]— NWS Storm Prediction Center (@NWSSPC) March 30, 2023. The storm center has placed a Level 4 out of 5 “moderate risk” of severe weather for nearly 4 million people in two separate areas ...Oklahoma Weather Center. OU School of Meteorology; METR4424 SoM Synoptic Course; National Severe Storms Laboratory; Storm Prediction Center. Forecast Products; NWS Forecast Office, Norman, OK. … Enter the date for previous public severe weather outlooks (e.g., 20060123 for January 23, 2006). Web-based archive available since March 4, 2004. The strongest thunderstorms across northeast Oklahoma may approach severe limits, with a marginal risk of hail up to the size of quarters and 60 mph wind …The strongest thunderstorms across northeast Oklahoma may approach severe limits, with a marginal risk of hail up to the size of quarters and 60 mph wind …Selecting a home warranty in Oklahoma doesn’t need to be difficult. The best home warranty companies in OK cost between $30-$65/month and offer broad coverage. Expert Advice On Imp...Jan 1, 2001 · Tornado Watch Number 518. NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK. 610 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021. The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a. * Tornado Watch for portions of. Southeast Oklahoma. North central and central Texas. * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 610 PM. until 200 AM CDT. Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. ... SPC AC 201630 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1130 AM CDT MON …The storm environment will favor the potential for large hail up to 2 inch diameter, isolated damaging winds of 60-70 mph, and a few tornadoes through late evening and early tonight. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of Ponca City OK to 35 miles south of Fort Sill OK.Jan 1, 2001 · Tornado Watch Number 518. NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK. 610 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021. The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a. * Tornado Watch for portions of. Southeast Oklahoma. North central and central Texas. * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 610 PM. until 200 AM CDT. Our nurses are the backbone of the Kimmel Cancer Center. Cancer Matters Perspectives from those who live it every day. When the coronavirus (COVID-19) stormed the U.S. in March, it...Since the program started in the 1970s, the information provided by Skywarn® spotters, coupled with Doppler radar technology, improved satellite and other data, has enabled NWS to issue more timely and accurate warnings for tornadoes, severe thunderstorms and flash floods. Skywarn® storm spotters are part of the ranks of citizens who form the ...The Storm Prediction Center is one of the initial participants in the NWS experimental email updates service. The SPC products available with email updates are: Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches and Watch Status updates, Mesoscale Discussions, Day 1, 2, 3 and 4-8 Convective Outlooks, Day 1, 2 and 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks.The Storm Prediction Center has circled an area that includes Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida where severe … Public tours are offered on Mondays and Fridays at 10 am. Tour duration: 1-1.5 hours. Public tours include visits to the McCasland Family Observation Deck, School of Meteorology, the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, the NWS Norman Weather Forecast Office, and the National Severe Storm Laboratory. Foreign Visitors will be required to fill out a ... The weather threat will shift toward the Midwest, with parts of Illinois and Ohio under a slight risk of severe thunderstorms, the Storm Prediction Center said. The thunderstorms may produce ...SPC Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watch Page. Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports. SEL2 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 52 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 AM EDT Fri Mar 18 2022 …SPC AC 102308 Day 1 Convective Outlook AMEND 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0508 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021 Valid 110100Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT FROM NORTHEAST AR/SOUTHEAST MO INTO WESTERN TN/KY AND SOUTHERN …Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.Storm Prediction Center. Norman, OK 73069 January 1999 Whether El Nino was a contributing factor to the weather in 1998 or not, preliminary data indicates there were 1,254 tornado occurrences in the 48 contiguous United States. This is the highest number of tornado reports since 1992 (1,297). Normally, tornadoes occur in an area from Texas ...NOAA NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, Oklahoma. 374,428 likes · 1,154 talking about this · 937 were here. Facebook posts do not always reflect the most current information. For current official...Enter the date for previous thunderstorm outlooks (e.g., 20060123 for January 23, ... National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] detailed manual analysis of surface data has been a major component of severe storm forecasting for more than 60 years. ... National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] 1. INTRODUCTION. When the threat for damage caused by severe convection is unusually high, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) enhances the wording of its convective watch product with the following statement: THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. Such watches are known as “PDS” watches. PDS tornado (TOR) watches are issued when the ... The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman, Oklahoma, has nationwide responsibility for forecasting organized severe local storm threats. SPC was actively involved in providing synoptic scale outlook guidance, mesoscale discussions (MDs) and severe weather watches (WWs) for the 3 May 1999 event (see Ostby (1992, 1999) for an overview of …Henrietta Mann Age: 80 Hometown: Weatherford Cause: Native American education After nearly four decades as a college professor teaching Native American studies, Mann retired in&hel...URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED. Tornado Watch Number 93. NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK. 1145 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023. The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a. * Tornado Watch for portions of. Central and Eastern Iowa. Western Illinois. Northern and Central Missouri.Top News of the Day. Information about the new National Weather Service web page design and comment area.. Click here for more information on the National Severe Weather Workshop, March 1-2, 2002 in Norman, Oklahoma.Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports. SEL3 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 33 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 345 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 The NWS Storm …SPC Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watch Page. Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports. SEL2 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 52 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 AM EDT Fri Mar 18 2022 … Observed Sounding Archive. This page shows current and recent observed radiosonde data in skew-t format. An archive of seven days of data will always be available. The images are created using a sounding analysis program called NSHARP. Sounding data will flow to this site as early as HH:30 after the hour, and will also re-run old hours to fill ... NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center. A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight. A couple of strong storms may impact parts of the Sacramento Valley by late this afternoon, and perhaps pose at least some risk for producing a tornado or two. For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic. Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. SPC AC 221255. DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK. NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK. 0755 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011. VALID 221300Z - 231200Z.The Storm Prediction Center is one of the initial participants in the NWS experimental email updates service. The SPC products available with email updates are: Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches and Watch Status updates, Mesoscale Discussions, Day 1, 2, 3 and 4-8 Convective Outlooks, Day 1, 2 and 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks.The Storm Prediction Center issues watches, general severe weather outlooks, and mesoscale discussions. Private weather companies sometimes issue customized tornado-risk predictions and alerts for their clients. ... The Advanced Radar Research Center at OU runs a Rapid-scan X-band Polarimetric Radar , also dual …SPC AC 102308 Day 1 Convective Outlook AMEND 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0508 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021 Valid 110100Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT FROM NORTHEAST AR/SOUTHEAST MO INTO WESTERN TN/KY AND SOUTHERN …Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic. Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. MODERATE. 32,762.The weather threat will shift toward the Midwest, with parts of Illinois and Ohio under a slight risk of severe thunderstorms, the Storm Prediction Center said. The thunderstorms may produce ...Storm Prediction Center By Ariel Cohen (SPC) and Keli Pirtle (NOAA Communications) ... During that time I was a forecaster at the Oklahoma City/Norman (Oklahoma) Weather Forecast Office, the warning coordination meteorologist at the Kansas City/Pleasant Hill (Missouri) WFO, and the meteorologist-in-charge at the WFO in Fort Worth (Texas). ...The Storm Prediction Center provides hazardous weather forecasts including critical tornado and severe thunderstorm watches for the contiguous United States. The SPC also monitors heavy rain, heavy snow and fire weather events across the U.S. and issues specific national products for those hazards.WEATHER Severe thunderstorms expected for Oklahoma, but should we expect a tornado? What to know. Jana Hayes The Oklahoman Meteorological spring is … The Lab also works closely with the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and the National Weather Service Norman Forecast Office, which are co-located at the National Weather Center (NWC) in Norman, Oklahoma. The NWC houses a combination of University of Oklahoma, NOAA and state organizations that work in collaboration. Tornado Watch Number 2. NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK. 430 PM CST Mon Jan 8 2024. The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a. * Tornado Watch for portions of. Southeast Louisiana. Coastal Mississippi. Coastal Waters. * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 430 PM until.Henrietta Mann Age: 80 Hometown: Weatherford Cause: Native American education After nearly four decades as a college professor teaching Native American studies, Mann retired in&hel...Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) SPC Convective Outlooks. Jeremy Grams and Bill Bunting, Storm Prediction Center. Days 1, 2, and 3. Overview: Convective outlooks for days 1, 2, and 3 consist of categorical and probabilistic graphics that depict severe and general thunderstorm threats across the continental United States, along with a text narrative. NOAA / National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] Probabilistic Tornado Graphic. Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Tornado Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. SIG SEVERE. 12,690.Elizabeth Leitman, a meteorologist at NOAA's Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma, issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch on Feb. 15, 2023, making …Jul 8, 2019 · Ahead of the storm. Most NOAA efforts are based at the National Weather Center offsite link on the University of Oklahoma campus. Three components operate within the National Weather Service: the Storm Prediction Center, Weather Forecast Office, and Warning Decision Training Division. Elizabeth Leitman, a meteorologist at NOAA's Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma, issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch on Feb. 15, 2023, making her the first woman to issue one in the SPC's ...SEL1. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED. Tornado Watch Number 91. NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK. 730 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2023. The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a. * Tornado Watch for portions of. Central Georgia. * Effective this Monday morning from 730 AM until 1100 AM EDT.SeniorsMobility provides the best information to seniors on how they can stay active, fit, and healthy. We provide resources such as exercises for seniors, where to get mobility ai...The SPC, based in Norman, Oklahoma, oversees messaging and forecasting any potential large-scale severe weather. Their popular convective outlook maps display risk levels for general severe weather threats and specific maps detailing risk for tornadoes, large hail and damaging wind gusts. The SPC Convective Outlook for Oct. 23, 2022.Jan 9, 2567 BE ... Reports of severe damage are coming in from Bamberg as storms have made their way through the area.The procedure to create the maps is as follows: 1. Reports for each day are put onto a grid 80 km x 80 km. 2. If one or more reports occur in a grid box, that box is assigned the value "1" for the day. If no reports occur, it's a zero. 3. The raw frequency for each day at each grid location is found for the period (number of "1" values divided ...Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the …Nov 7, 2001 · VALID 311500Z - 011200Z. The Day 1 Convective Outlook , Day 2 Convective Outlook and Day 3 Convective Outlook are guidance products issued by the SPC Operational Branch in Norman, Oklahoma. The Day 1 outlook outlines areas in the continental United States where severe thunderstorms may develop during the next 6 to 73 hours. Jan 6, 2023 · 2024 Preliminary U.S. Killer Tornadoes. Printable version of Latest Annual U.S. Killer Tornado Statistics (AWIPS ID: STATIJ) Printable version of 2023 U.S. Killer Tornado Statistics Updated: Jan. 6, 2023. Printable version of 2022 U.S. Killer Tornado Statistics Updated: Jan. 23, 2023. The Lab also works closely with the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and the National Weather Service Norman Forecast Office, which are co-located at the National Weather Center (NWC) in Norman, Oklahoma. The NWC houses a combination of University of Oklahoma, NOAA and state organizations that work in collaboration. Only the Czech Republic pays its high school teachers less. Teachers’ strikes in West Virginia, Oklahoma, and Kentucky are drawing attention to the dire state of public education f...Tornado Watch Number 24. NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK. 1000 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024. The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a. * Tornado Watch for portions of. Eastern Florida Panhandle. Extreme southwest Georgia. Coastal Waters. * Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 1000 AM until. My most memorable career experiences were Category-5 Hurricane Andrew in South Florida, and the Oklahoma tornado outbreak of 3 May 1999, which featured a long-tracked F5 and a larger, longer-tracked F4. Each delivered highest-end storm intensity with historically huge damage and economic impact, after extremely challenging forecasts. Apply for SBA federal disaster loans by May 5, 2023, to address property damage from Louisiana's severe storms and tornado. Tanya N. Garfield, Director of the U.S. Small Business A... NOAA / National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected]

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. weather.gov. Hasbro wiki

storm prediction center oklahoma

Storm Prediction Center. This is a map and list of tornadoes since 1950 which the National Weather Service has rated F5 (before 2007) or EF5 ... 2011 El Reno/Piedmont OK 57 May 22, 2011 Joplin MO 56 April 27, 2011 Rainsville/Sylvania AL 55 April 27, 2011 Preston MS 54 April 27, 2011 Hackleburg/Phil Campbell AL 53 April 27, 2011 ...Click on the NWS Warnings and Advisories Map above for more details. Weather Topics: Watches , Mesoscale Discussions , Outlooks , Fire Weather , All Products , Contact Us. NOAA / National Weather Service. National Centers for Environmental Prediction. Storm Prediction Center.Severe Weather 101 Thunderstorm Forecasting. The NOAA Storm Prediction Center (SPC) located in Norman, OK is the office that monitors and forecasts the potential for severe weather over the 48 continental United States. The information provided by SPC will give you critical information concerning the threat of severe weather at your location. It was located at Max Westheimer Airport in a building built specifically for the NWS office. By 1997, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC, previously named the Severe Local Storm Warning Center and located in Kansas City) had moved to Norman and was co-located with the National Weather Service office there. The Storm Prediction Center issues watches, general severe weather outlooks, and mesoscale discussions. Private weather companies sometimes issue customized tornado-risk predictions and alerts for their clients. ... The Advanced Radar Research Center at OU runs a Rapid-scan X-band Polarimetric Radar , also dual …Get ratings and reviews for the top 10 foundation companies in Oklahoma City, OK. Helping you find the best foundation companies for the job. Expert Advice On Improving Your Home A...The procedure to create the maps is as follows: 1. Reports for each day are put onto a grid 80 km x 80 km. 2. If one or more reports occur in a grid box, that box is assigned the value "1" for the day. If no reports occur, it's a zero. 3. The raw frequency for each day at each grid location is found for the period (number of "1" values divided ...WEATHER Severe thunderstorms expected for Oklahoma, but should we expect a tornado? What to know. Jana Hayes The Oklahoman Meteorological spring is …May 15, 2023 · National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] Special permits are required to carry concealed weapons in 46 states that include Massachusetts, California, Florida, Utah and Oklahoma, explains the Law Center to Prevent Gun Viol...Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms National Weather Center, Suite 2500 120 David L. Boren Blvd., Norman, OK 73072, USA Phone: (405) 325-0453 Fax: (405) 325-7614 E-mail: [email protected] to the SVRGIS page for the SPC. This page has the United States severe report database (tornadoes 1950-2022, hail/wind 1955-2022), converted into shapefile (.shp) file format. The data can be viewed in graphical, tabular, and statistical formats depending on end-user programs. The NOAA/NWS Geodata page, has links that are directed to ...Working with Storm Prediction Center forecasters . The researchers have now teamed with forecasters at the national Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma, to test the model and refine it based on practical considerations from actual weather forecasters. The tool is not a stand-in for the invaluable skill of human forecasters, but rather ....

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